Home' Asian Aviation : AAV October 2011 Contents AndrzejJeziorski
In this issue, we see a number of major industry players
underlining the significance of the Asia-Pacific region as a
long-term driver of growth in the aviation industry.
Simulator maker CAE (see page 32) says long-term demand
for its products will be bolstered by growth in emerging
markets such as China , India and South-East Asia . Elsewhere
(see page 20), Airbus’s top salesman John Leahy says key
factors in the company’s latest 20-year outlook “include a
strong driving of traffic growth by the emerging economies,
the nearly doubling of traffic in and between more mature
markets, and the positioning of Asia -Pacific as the leader in
The International Air Transport Association (IATA)
strikes its familiar cautionary tone on the near-to -mid-
term outlook for the global industr y (see page 19), but
nonetheless says Asia-Pacific airlines will be this year ’s star
performers, while expressing continued optimism about
China’s economic resilience.
Continued f aith in the region – in the face of resurgent
fuel prices and rene wed economic uncertainty – can be
seen reflected in the fact that seven of the top ten airlines
by widebody aircraft deliveries over the next 12 months are
based in Asia – a fact highlighted by analysts at the Sydney-
based Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA).
Leading the list is All Nippon Airways (ANA), which has
made headlines this month by taking delivery of the first
Boeing 787 ‘Dreamliner’ – a major industry milestone (see
pag e 9). The Japanese carrier will be keeping up a lively
schedule of f urther aircraft deliveries, placing it at the top
of the list with 20 new aircraft deliveries expected in the
next 12 months.
Cathay Pacific Air ways, Air China and China Southern
Airlines all have 15 or more widebody aircraft scheduled to
be delivered in the period, while Malaysia Airlines (MAS),
Air India and Japan Airlines ( JAL) also make the list, with
11, ten and ten deliveries scheduled, respectively.
Of the airlines outside the region that made the list, t wo
are based in the Middle East. Emirates ranks second behind
ANA, with 19 deliveries scheduled, while Qatar Airways
ranks tenth with ten deliveries. Lufthansa is the only
European airline on the list, with ten deliveries.
Looking at the top 30 airlines on the list, we see that 13 are
from the Asia-Pacific region, ten are based in Europe, five are
from the Middle East and Africa , while just three are from
North America . Four operators in the top 30 are dedicated
cargo carriers – CargoLux , FedEx, U PS and China’s Yangtze
ANA took delivery of its first 787 on 26 September. The
carrier currently has 112 widebody aircraft in its fleet,
accounting for almost three-quarters of its fleet total, with
63 widebodies on firm order, comprising 72 percent of the
carrier’s order book , CAPA says.
Additional 787s will make up many of the airline’s 20
scheduled deliveries over the next 12 months . Four 787s
are to be handed over to the carrier in the rest of 2011, with
eight more coming in 2012. By the end of 2017, the carrier
will have all 55 of the 787s it ordered in ser vice on domestic
and international routes, based on the current schedule. The
carrier also has three 767-300ERs and five 777-200ERs on
order from Boeing , to supplement its widebody fleet.
According to CAPA , ANA’s international growth “is largely
predicated on the 787s deliveries, with the carrier to put the
[aircraft] into ser vice on international routes from 2012”.
The Japanese carrier says the model is “a g ame- changing
aircraft”, marking a “new horizon for aviation and the
company”. Operating from Tokyo’s Haneda Airport, the
jetliner will allow the carrier to expand its network beyond
the existing 76 destinations.
The 787’s first reg ular domestic ser vice will be betwe en
Haneda and Okayama , starting on 1 November, with a
flight between Haneda and Hiroshima also operating the
“By the end of this fiscal year, the aircraft will be successively
used on routes connecting Haneda with Itami, Yamaguchi-
Ube, and Matsuyama ,” CA PA says. The 787 will begin to
operate a reg ular long-haul operation linking Tokyo Haneda
to Frankfurt, Germany, from January 2012.
That ser vice will initially operate thrice weekly, increasing
to daily in Februar y 2012. The aircraft will also be used
on the Haneda-Beijing route from December this year,
marking its first regular international ser vice. CAPA says the
‘Dreamliner’ will operate on that route “approximately once
a week”, until the Haneda -Frankfurt ser vice commences the
While ANA is focused on international expansion plans,
Japan Airlines – once Asia’s largest carrier – is experiencing
“brutal network contractions”, making the g oing easier
for its rival. Howe ver, CAPA says the sluggish domestic
economic recovery and the nation’s still-slow aviation
sector in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis “all encourage
outward-looking strategies for ANA”.
new aircraft deliveries
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“ANA’s international growth is
largely predicated on the 787
deliveries, with the carrier to put the
B787 into service on international
routes from 2012.” - CAPA
30/09/11 9:32 PM
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